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Mt. Hood Real Estate Blog

Liz Warren

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Housing Forecasts For Mt. Hood in 2025

by Liz Warren

       

Today’s Biggest Housing Market Myths

by Liz Warren

Today’s Biggest Housing Market Myths



 

Have you ever heard the phrase: don’t believe everything you hear? That’s especially true if you’re thinking about buying or selling a home in today’s housing market. There’s a lot of misinformation out there. And right now, making sure you have someone you can go to for trustworthy information is extra important.

If you partner with a real estate agent, they can clear up some common misconceptions and reassure you by backing them up with research-driven facts. Here are just a few misconceptions they can help disprove.

1. I’ll Get a Better Deal Once Prices Crash

If you’ve heard home prices are going to come crashing down, it’s time to look at what’s actually happening. While prices vary by local market, there’s a lot of data out there from numerous sources that shows a crash is not going to happen. Back in 2008, there was a dramatic oversupply of homes that led to prices crashing. Across the board, there’s an undersupply of homes for sale today. That makes this market a whole different scenario (see chart below):

No Caption ReceivedSo, if you think waiting will score you a deal, know that data shows there’s not a crash on the horizon, and waiting isn’t going to pay off the way you’d hoped.

2. I Won’t Be Able To Find Anything To Buy

If this nagging fear about finding the right home if you move is still holding you back, you probably haven’t talked with an expert real estate agent lately. Throughout the year, the supply of homes for sale has grown. Data from Realtor.com helps put this into context. While there are still fewer homes on the market than in a more normal year like 2019, inventory is still above where it was at this time last year (see graph below):

No Caption ReceivedSo, if you’re remembering all that media coverage about record-low supply during the pandemic, you can rest a bit easier. While the market isn’t back to normal just yet, inventory is moving in a healthier direction. And that means as your options improve, you can let go of this now outdated myth because finding a home to buy won’t feel quite so impossible anymore.

3. I Have To Wait Until I Have Enough for a 20% Down Payment

Many people still believe you need a 20% down payment to buy a home. To show just how widespread this myth is, Fannie Mae says:

“Approximately 90% of consumers overstate or don’t know the minimum required down payment for a typical mortgage.”

And if you look at the data from the National Association of Realtors (NAR), you can see the typical homeowner isn’t putting down as much as you might expect (see graph below):

First-time homebuyers are typically only putting down 6%. That’s far less than the 20% so many people think they need. And if you’re looking at that graph and you’re more focused on how the number for repeat buyers is closer to 20%, here’s what you need to realize. That’s only because they have so much equity built up in their current house that can be used to make a larger down payment for their next move.

This goes to show you don’t have to put 20% down, unless it’s specified by your loan type or lender. Many people put down a lot less. Not to mention, depending on the type of home loan you get, you may only need to put 3.5% or even 0% down. So, if you’re buying your first home, you likely don’t need nearly as much for your down payment as you may think.

An Agent’s Role in Fighting Misconceptions

If you put your move on pause because you heard one or more of these myths yourself, it’s time to talk to a trusted agent. An expert agent has more data and the facts, just like this, to reassure you and help break through any misconceptions that may be holding you back.

Bottom Line

If you have questions about what you’re hearing or reading, let’s connect. You deserve to have someone you can trust to get the facts.

The Number One Mistake Sellers Are Making: Overpricing Their House



 

In today's housing market, many sellers are making a critical mistake: overpricing their houses. This common error can lead to a home sitting on the market for a long time without any offers. And when that happens, the homeowner may have to drop their asking price to try to re-ignite buyer interest.

Data from Realtor.com shows the number of homeowners realizing this mistake and doing a price reduction is climbing (see graph below):

No Caption ReceivedIf you’re thinking about making a move yourself, here’s what you need to know. The best way to avoid making a costly mistake is to work with a trusted real estate agent to find the right price. Here’s a look at what’s at stake if you don’t.

Not Paying Attention To Current Market Conditions

Understanding current market conditions is key to accurate pricing. You don’t want to set your asking price based on what happened during the pandemic. The market has moderated a lot since then, so it’s far better to align your price with today’s reality.

Real estate agents stay updated on market trends and how they impact the pricing strategy for your house.

Pricing It Based on What You Want To Make (Not What It’s Worth)

Another misstep is pricing it based on what you want to make on the sale, and not necessarily current market value. You may see other homes in your neighborhood selling for top dollar and assume yours can do the same. But you may not be considering differences in size, condition, and features. For example, maybe that other house is waterfront or has a finished basement. To sum it up, Bankrate explains:

“How do you find that sweet spot of pricing for profit but not overpricing? The expertise of your agent can be truly valuable here. A knowledgeable agent will understand fair market value in your area, how much your house is worth and how much you might reasonably expect to get for it in the current market.”

An agent will do a comparative market analysis (CMA) to make sure your house is compared with truly similar properties to get an accurate look at how it should be priced.

Pricing High to Leave Room for Negotiation

Another common, yet misguided strategy is to price your house high on purpose, so you have more room to negotiate down during the sale. But this can backfire. A price that seems too high often deters potential buyers from even considering the home. So rather than leaving room for negotiation, what you’ll actually be doing is turning buyers away. U.S. News Real Estate explains:

“You want to sell your house for top dollar, but be realistic about the value of the property and how buyers will see it. If you've overpriced your home, chances are you'll eventually need to lower the number, but the peak period of activity that a new listing experiences is already gone.”

An agent can help you set a fair price that attracts buyers and encourages more competitive offers.

Bottom Line

Overpricing your home can have serious consequences. A knowledgeable real estate agent brings an objective perspective, in-depth market knowledge, and a strategic approach to pricing.

Let’s connect so you can avoid making a pricing mistake that’ll cost you.

Reasons To Move in Today's Shifting Market

by Liz Warren

       

Helpful Negotiation Tactics for Today's Housing Market

by Liz Warren

Helpful Negotiation Tactics for Today’s Housing Market



 

If you haven’t already heard, homebuyers are regaining some negotiating power in today’s market. And while that doesn’t make this a buyer’s market, it does mean buyers may be able to ask for a little more. So, sellers need to be ready for that possibility and know what they’re willing to negotiate.

Whether you’re looking to buy or sell a house, here’s a quick rundown of potential negotiations that may pop up during your transaction. That way, you’re prepared no matter which side of the deal you’re on.

What Can You Negotiate?

Most things in a home purchase are on the negotiation table. Here’s a list of just a few of those options, according to Kiplinger and LendingTree:

  • Sale Price: The most obvious is the price of the home. And that lever is being pulled more often today. Buyers don’t want to overpay when affordability is already so tight. And sellers who aren’t realistic about their asking price may have to consider adjusting their price.
  • Home Repairs: Based on the inspection, a buyer is within their rights to ask the seller to make reasonable repairs. If the seller doesn’t want to do that, they could offer to reduce the home price or cover some closing costs, so the buyer has the money to take them on themselves.
  • Fixtures: Buyers can also ask for appliances or furniture to convey when the house changes hands. Having the seller throw in the washer and dryer cuts down on expenses the buyer would have when moving in. As the seller, you could leave your existing ones behind to sweeten the deal for your buyer, and get yourself new ones for your next place.
  • Closing Costs: Closing costs typically run about 2-5% of the home’s purchase price. Buyers can ask the seller to pay for some or all of these expenses to offset the cash the buyer has to bring to the table. 
  • Home Warranties: Buyers can also ask the seller to pay for a home warranty. This is great for buyers worried about the maintenance costs that may pop up after taking possession of the home. And since this concession usually isn’t terribly expensive for the seller, it can be a good option for both parties.
  • Closing Date: Buyers can ask for a faster or extended closing window based on their own timetable. The seller can also advocate for what they need based on their move to find the right compromise.

One thing is true whether you’re a buyer or a seller, and that’s how much your agent can help you throughout the process. Your agent is your go-to for any back-and-forth. They’ll handle the conversations and advocate for your best interests along the way. As Bankrate says:

“Agents have expert negotiating skills. Without one, you must negotiate the terms of the contract on your own.”

They may also be able to uncover what the buyer or seller is looking for in their discussions with the other agent. And that insight can be really valuable at the negotiation table. 

Bottom Line

Buyers are regaining a bit of negotiation power in today’s market. Buyers, knowing what levers you can pull will help you feel confident and empowered going into your purchase. Sellers, having a heads up of what they may ask for gives you the chance to think through what you’ll be willing to offer.

Want to chat more about what to expect and the options you have? Let’s connect. 

New Fires Around Mt. Hood

by Liz Warren

 

Thunderstorms spark new fires around Mt. Hood region

 

Mt. Hood National Forest firefighters responded to several new lightning starts on Monday, August 5 after a storm system passed through the area in the early morning hours.

 

Sandstone Fire is located on the Clackamas River Ranger District on the south side of Thunder Mountain, several miles north of Forest Road 70. It's currently burning in the 2006 Blister Fire burn scar and is estimated at approximately 350 acres. More accurate mapping will be provided once an infrared flight is available.

 

The fire is located in a challenging area with multiple hazard snags around the perimeter. Personnel are working to get ground resources closer to the fire. Scooper planes are using Timothy and Detroit Lakes to retrieve water and help slow the fire's growth.

 

Barlow Ridge Fire, located along Barlow Ridge south of OR Route 35 and east of U.S. Highway 26, was fully lined around the perimeter yesterday at roughly 0.25 acre. A helicopter from nearby Whisky Creek Fire dropped water on the fire, keeping the footprint small with the help of local engines and firefighters. Fire personnel will continue to patrol and mop up, which includes extinguishing and removing burning material, over the next several days.

 

Hunchback Fire is estimated at 0.1 acre. Containment lines held overnight and firefighters completed line construction today. Mop-up operations have begun. Smokejumpers are assisting and personnel will remain on scene and patrol for several days.

 

Fish Creek Divide Fire is estimated at 0.25 acre. Resources are on scene.

 

There are no closures at this time. We ask people to avoid the fire areas to allow firefighters to work safely.

 

Any evacuation notices for Sandstone Fire will be shared by the Clackamas County Sheriff's Office. Please be sure to follow them for updates and sign up for emergency alerts: www.clackamas.us/dm/publicalerts

 

Public use fire restrictions are in effect and open campfires are prohibited in Mt. Hood National Forest. For more information on fire restrictions, visit our website: www.fs.usda.gov/main/mthood/fire

Photo: Smoke from the Sandstone Fire, viewed from Estacada on Aug. 5. (Photo courtesy of Cara Lewis)

Mt. Hood National Forest
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Unlocking Benefits of Home Equity

by Liz Warren

          

The Biggest Mistakes Homebuyers Are Making Right Now

by Liz Warren

The Biggest Mistakes Homebuyers Are Making Right Now



 

No Caption Received

Some Highlights

  • Want to know the biggest mistakes homebuyers are making today?
  • They include everything from putting off pre-approval for too long, holding out for the perfect home, buying more than they can afford, and skipping out on hiring a pro.
  • Let’s connect to make sure you have a pro on your side who can help you avoid these mistakes.

One in a Million Salmon River Location!

by Liz Warren

  Salmon Riverfront Cabin Mt. Hood Villages

  Welches Salmon River mini lodge with three bedrooms           Fireplace at Nolan Lodge on the Salmon River

Relax on your Salmon Riverfront Deck on Mt. Hood

One in a million and one of a kind. This "10" location is perched above the Salmon River on a shared gated private drive in Welches. Multiple decks and outstanding views up and down the river make this location the best you'll find on Mt. Hood! The National Forest is right across the river so you'll never see other homes from this spot. A massive old growth tree greats you as you walk to the covered deck and entry.The open vaulted ceilings and windows facing the river make a charming living room setting. Just past the stone fireplace you'll find a spacious vintage kitchen and dining room. An old fashioned wood cook stove is just behind the fireplace. Down the hall is a bedroom and bathroom with shower. The spacious primary bedroom includes a walk in closet and primary bathroom. Watch the river roll by from your bedroom perch. You can even see the river lying in bed. Downstairs is a family room with a small bunk bedroom with an outside entry. A small storage room is attached to the house for storing your mountain toys. A stone pathway will take you to a sitting area with fire pit. It's the perfect spot for an evening barbecue or to hop into the river on hot days! You've never seen anything like this location and probably never will with current county regulations. The property has it's own well and a brand new septic is in process of going in. It's also got a generator and it's own well too! Perfect base for all of your Mt. Hood activities. $950,000

Fire Restrictions in the Mt. Hood National Forest

by Liz Warren

Mt. Hood National Forest

Forest Service News Release

 

Fire Restrictions on Mt. Hood National Forest

 

 

Due to dry and hot conditions, campfires are prohibited across the Mt. Hood National Forest beginning Friday, July 12, 2024.

 

All campfires, charcoal or briquette fires, pellet fires, or any other open fires are prohibited under a Forest Order, including in developed campgrounds. Portable cooking stoves, lanterns, and heating devices using liquefied or bottled fuel, such as propane, are still allowed as they can be instantly switched off. 

 

The recent hot weather has caused Fire Danger Indices to rise, and with no rain or cool-down in the forecast, fire personnel anticipate the potential for fires to continue to remain high through the summer. With the current dry and warm long-range forecast, wildfire starts pose a greater threat to firefighter safety, public safety, and personal property. 

 

“Most wildfires are human-caused. With our hot, dry summer conditions any fire can become a big problem fast, putting lives and property at risk,” said Dirk Shupe, Fire Management Staff Officer for the Mt. Hood National Forest. “We’re thankful for the vast majority of folks who take fire safety seriously and help us protect our public lands.”

 

More wildfire information and the full text of the Forest Order.

 

For more information about the local and regional fire outlook visit: https://gacc.nifc.gov/nwcc/predict/outlook.aspx

 

Neighboring national forests are also beginning to enact public use restrictions for the wildfire season. Find more about restrictions and fire safety on adjacent national forests:

 

And remember, fireworks and other explosive devices are always prohibited on national forests.

 

USDA is an equal opportunity provider, employer, and lender.

 

Mt. Hood National Forest
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Displaying blog entries 21-30 of 1888

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Liz Warren
Merit Properties Group - Keller Williams Realty PDX Central
Box 131
Welches OR 97067
Direct: 503-705-3090