Happy New Year
Here’s to a Wonderful 2019!
We hope 2019 is a great year for you, both personally and professionally!
Liz Warren
Displaying blog entries 241-250 of 381
We hope 2019 is a great year for you, both personally and professionally!
Liz Warren
This information comes immediately after the new tax code became law. Some of the information may be revised as the analysis of the new law evolves.
When the tax code was originally being overhauled by the House and the Senate, there were three major proposals being considered that would have substantially impacted the residential real estate market:
Let’s look how the tax code has evolved from the original proposal, and decipher what impact experts believe it may have on the housing market.
Original Proposal: Owners would need to live in their house for at least 5 out of the last 8 years to claim this exemption. Under the former tax framework, a typical owner, who has lived in their house for at least 2 years out of the last 5 years, would pay nothing in capital gain taxes if they sell the house.
The New Tax Code: No change. The “at least 2 years out of the last 5 years” requirement is unchanged.
Impact on the Market: None.
Original Proposal: Reduce the limit on the mortgage interest deduction (MID) amount from $1,000,000 to $500,000.
The New Tax Code: Reduces limit on deductible mortgage debt to $750,000 for new loans taken out after 12/14/17. Current loans up to $1 million are grandfathered.
Impact on the Market: Assuming a 20% down payment, this reduction in the MID will impact buyers that are purchasing a home between the prices of $938,000 and $1,250,000. Any home under the lower price is still covered and any home over the higher price was not covered under the former tax code either.
What does that mean to the market? Experts disagree. Calculated Risk’s Bill McBride:
“I think the impact of reducing the MID from a maximum of $1 million in mortgage debt to $750 thousand in mortgage debt will have very little impact on the housing market.”
On the other hand, Capital Economics claims:
“The impact on expensive homes could be detrimental, with a limit on the mortgage interest deduction raising taxes for those that itemize.”
Original Proposal: The elimination of the state and local tax deduction (which includes property taxes).
The New Tax Code: Allows an itemized deduction of up to $10,000 for the total of state and local property taxes and income or sales taxes.
Impact on the Market: Most experts agree that higher taxed regions will be impacted as homeowners in those communities now have a cap on these deductions.
Calculated Risk’s Bill McBride stated:
“SALT will have an impact on housing in some areas. Some people might choose to live in one state over another (if they have a choice), based on taxation. This could impact demand in certain states – especially for the middle and upper-middle class homeowners.”
Mark Zandi of Moody’s Analytics said:
“The impact on house prices is much greater for higher-priced homes, especially in parts of the country where incomes are higher and there are thus a disproportionate number of itemizers, and where homeowners have big mortgages and property tax bills.”
For most of the country, the new tax code will not have a negative impact on the market. As Capital Economics reports:
“Given most households will see an overall tax cut, and potential buyers are likely to put that saving towards their home, we doubt it will have a significant detrimental impact on the housing market.”
There is also no doubt that some higher priced, higher taxed regions will be affected more than others. However, most experts agree that other portions of the tax code will favor the high-end buyer and seller, and this might mitigate many concerns. McBride explains:
“The corporate tax cuts (and other tax cuts) will mostly benefit the wealthy, and this will be a positive for high end real estate.”
To know for sure, you should sit with your accountant or financial planner and explore how all the aspects of the new code will impact your family.
Most families consider homeownership an essential part of the American Dream, and don’t purchase a home based solely on the tax advantages. The main reasons they buy a home are personal (they just got married, they are looking for a good place to raise children, they want to be near friends and family, they want to better enjoy their retirement, etc.). This will never change.
Looking at the new tax code, Mr. McBride’s opinion makes the most sense:
“There will be some negative impact based on SALT, but overall the impact of these policy changes on housing will be minimal.”
Getting a mortgage these days is filled with massive amounts of documentation, strict regulations red tape and on top of that a huge shortage of appraisers in the Northwest. The further away from urban centers the more delays you will face! What once was a thirty to forty five day process is now becoming a sixty to ninety day process. Not only is the Mt. Hood area, only one hour from Portland, facing extended closings, if you're in Southern Oregon or at the coast you need to count on a ninety day closing.
I've had three transactions assigned to appraisers coming from the Bend area to get the work done for the loan! Portland's mass influx of new residents has shaken the mortgage process and most appraisers are looking for the short drive near PDX vs. the hour East to service Rhododendron, Welches and Brightwood and Government Camp. It's not just the Northwest though, appraisals are affecting all other areas of the country too. Part of the problem is the amount of education and training it takes to become an appraiser. The bar for entry is too high! Current costs of appraisals on the mountain run $600.00 plus. Many I've seen have reached the $700-$750 range. Add on the expedited appraisal fee and we are talking $900 plus.
The impact of the appraisal issue hits both buyers and sellers.
*Delayed closings are rampant!
*Buyers loose their lock on interest rates.
*Try to plan a move without knowing when the appraiser will take place.
*Excessive fees to buyers to "expedite" their appraisal.
Here are few articles I found online that discuss some of the issues and resolutions. Bottom line: if you want your house to close by June 1st and move into your new home by the beginning of summer, I suggest you get under contract by March to get that accomplished which changes the mind set of most buyers and sellers in the process. Currently we don't see any resolution to the problem in the near future so it's best to plan ahead.
Southern Oregon Appraisal Delays
Only eight appraisers in Clatsop County: Astoria, Oregon
The system is broken: Bend, Oregon
Take a look at the RMLS statistics for distressed sales over the past quarter in all areas. Bank owned sales are just down to under 6% and short sales at under 2%! So far in 2015 the Mt. Hood real estate market has seen a total of 6 bank owned and zero short sales up to this point. In 2014 that total hit the 18 with 15 bank owned and 3 short sales. The "shadow inventory" of distressed homes is shrinking by the month and heading for historic norms.
Displaying blog entries 241-250 of 381